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Timken Predicts Its Steel Sales to Increase 12–17% This Year

The Timken Company reported sales of US$4.3 billion for 2013, a decrease of 13% from the prior year.  The decline reflects lower demand across most of the company's broad end markets.  In addition, a US$117 million decline in Steel segment raw material surcharges from the prior-year period further decreased revenues.  The reduction in sales was partially offset by the benefit of acquisitions of US$86 million in the company's Mobile Industries and Process Industries segments and from strength in the Steel segment's automotive end-market sector.
 
In 2013, the company generated net income of US$262.7 million, or US$2.74 per diluted share, compared with US$495.5 million, or US$5.07 per diluted share, a year ago.  Results for 2013 included US$32.8 million of after-tax expense, or US$0.35 per diluted share (reference Table 1) related to (a) tax expense incurred on the repatriation of overseas cash, (b) tax benefits associated with the reversal of certain income tax reserves from prior years, (c) separation costs associated with the proposed spinoff of the steel business, (d) costs related to previously announced plant closures, and (e) other unusual items.  Excluding these items, 2013 net income was US$295.5 million, or US$3.09 per diluted share.  This compares with 2012 net income of US$464.6 million, or US$4.76 per diluted share, excluding costs related to previously announced plant closures and Continued Dumping and Subsidy Offset Act (CDSOA) receipts.  The decrease in earnings primarily reflects lower volume and manufacturing utilization as well as unfavorable sales mix, which was partially offset by lower raw material and selling and administrative expenses as well as favorable pricing. 
 
"Although demand from many of our targeted market segments has been sluggish, we performed well despite low operating levels," said James W. Griffith, Timken president and chief executive officer.  "Over the past few months, we have completed a number of initiatives to match our cost structure to the current demand and to improve our ability to grow. The company is well positioned as key markets begin to recover in both businesses even as we prepare for an anticipated mid-year separation of our steel business."
 
During 2013, Timken:
Invested for Growth and Productivity
  • Acquired Smith Services, Interlube Systems, Standard Machine and rail bearing reconditioning assets from The Greenbrier Companies;
  • Completed four previously announced capital investment projects that will increase manufacturing effectiveness and capacity in its Steel segment;
  • Announced the opening of its new industrial service center in Raipur, India, which will provide gear drive and bearing repair and upgrade services to meet growing customer demand for Timken industrial services outside the U.S.; and
  • Expanded its product portfolio, launching new Timken® SNT plummer blocks and seals, adding new Timken® encoders and designing two new high-performance Timken® alloy steels to meet specific needs of the oil and gas industry.
Returned Capital to Shareholders
  • Through dividends and the repurchase of 3.4 million shares, returned a total of US$277 million in capital to shareholders.  The company has 4.1 million shares remaining under its current board-approved share repurchase program.
Implemented Cash Repatriation Strategy
  • In the fourth quarter, implemented a strategy to repatriate approximately US$365 million of cash, incurring tax expense of approximately US$26 million. The company repatriated US$123 million of cash in January 2014; the rest will be repatriated in future periods. 
Launched Cost-Reduction Initiative / Continued Rationalization
  • Began a cost-reduction initiative in the fourth quarter to address lower market demand within its bearings and power transmission business. The company expects pre-tax costs of approximately US$20 million to achieve targeted annual pre-tax savings of approximately US$25 million; and
  • Continued to further align its operations during the year with market needs, which includes supply chain improvements, work force reductions and plant capacity rationalizations.
Began Steel Separation Initiative
  • On 5 September 2013, announced intent to pursue a separation of the company's steel business through a tax-free spinoff, creating a new independent publicly traded steel company mid-year 2014.  At that time, the new company—TimkenSteel Corporation—is expected to trade on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker TMST; and
  • In anticipation of the spinoff, the company expects to incur one-time separation costs of approximately US$105 million. Included in these costs are US$15 million related to another specific cost-reduction initiative to generate an additional US$20 million of annualized savings, which are intended to mitigate the incremental enterprise costs associated with operating TimkenSteel Corporation as an independent public company.
 
Fourth-Quarter Results
Timken posted sales of US$1.1 billion in the fourth quarter of 2013, down 2% from the same period in 2012.  The sales decrease primarily reflects lower demand from the industrial, mining, heavy-truck and light-vehicle end-market sectors.  This decrease was partially offset by demand in the energy, rail, Aerospace-related defense and Steel-related light-vehicle end-market sectors as well as the benefit of acquisitions.  From a geographic perspective, the decline primarily reflects lower demand in North America, partially offset by growth in Asia.
 
For the fourth quarter, the company generated net income of US$52.6 million, or US$0.55 per diluted share.  That compares with US$75.3 million, or US$0.78 per diluted share, earned in the same period last year.  Results for 2013 included US$20.9 million of after-tax expense, or US$0.23 per diluted share (reference Table 2) related to (a) tax expense incurred on the repatriation of overseas cash, (b) tax benefits associated with the reversal of certain income tax reserves from prior years, (c) separation costs associated with the proposed spinoff of the steel business, (d) costs related to previously announced plant closures, and (e) other unusual items.  Excluding these items, fourth-quarter net income was US$73.5 million or US$0.78 per diluted share.  This compares with 2012 fourth quarter net income of US$77.9 million, or US$0.80 per diluted share, excluding costs related to the previously announced plant closures.  The decline in earnings primarily reflects lower volume and the impact of LIFO, partially offset by lower selling and administrative expenses and material costs.
 
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet
The company generated US$432.4 million in cash from operating activities in 2013, driven by earnings and working capital management, partially offset by discretionary pension contributions.  Excluding discretionary pension contributions of US$66.3 million, net of tax, and CDSOA expense of US$1.8 million, net of tax, free cash flow (operating cash after capital expenditures and dividends) was US$87.2 million.  In addition, the company repurchased 3.4 million shares for US$189 million and made three acquisitions totaling US$65 million. 
 
As of December 31, 2013, total debt was US$475.9 million, or 15.2% of capital, and cash was US$384.6 million, resulting in net debt of US$91.3 million, compared with total debt of US$479.0 million and a net cash position of US$107.4 million at the end of 2012.  Available liquidity at December 31, 2013, was US$1.2 billion.  Timken ended the year with pensions funded at approximately 105% compared with 89% a year ago.
 
Mobile Industries Segment Results
Mobile Industries' 2013 sales were US$1.5 billion, down 12% from US$1.7 billion a year ago.  The decrease included approximately US$95 million related to the company's market strategy, primarily in the light-vehicle sector.  The remaining decrease was principally due to lower heavy truck and off-highway market demand, partially offset by the benefits of the Interlube Systems acquisition and rail bearing reconditioning investment, combined with higher demand from the automotive aftermarket sector.
 
Mobile Industries achieved EBIT of US$164.7 million, or 11.2% of sales, for the year, down 21% from US$208.1 million, or 12.4% of sales, earned in 2012.  The decrease in EBIT was primarily driven by lower volume and plant utilization, partially offset by lower costs related to plant closures, raw materials and selling and administrative expenses.
 
In the fourth quarter, Mobile Industries' sales were US$337.1 million, down 7% relative to the same period a year ago.  The US$24 million decrease included approximately US$30 million related to the company's market strategy primarily in the light-vehicle sector.  The remaining growth was mainly due to improved international rail demand and the benefit of acquisitions.  EBIT for the quarter was US$32 million, or 9.5% of sales, compared with US$34.7 million, or 9.6% of sales, for the same period a year ago.  EBIT was impacted by lower volume and plant utilization, partially offset by lower selling and administrative expenses and the benefit of acquisitions.  In addition, the company had a net benefit of approximately US$8 million from unusual items, including the gain on the sale of land in Brazil and lower restructuring costs compared to a year ago, partially offset by severance costs related to the company's cost-reduction initiative.
 
Process Industries Segment Results
Sales for the Process Industries segment were US$1.2 billion in 2013, a decrease of 8% from US$1.3 billion a year ago. The decrease was driven by lower demand and inventory destocking in the industrial distribution market sectors, led by mining, oil and gas, as well as lower demand in the original equipment industrial sectors including metals, gear drives and wind.  The decrease was partially offset by the benefit of the industrial services acquisitions as well as pricing.
 
Process Industries generated EBIT of US$201.9 million, or 16.3% of sales, down 27% from the prior year's EBIT of US$274.9 million, or 20.5% of sales.  The decrease reflects lower volume and plant utilization partially offset by pricing and lower selling and administrative expenses.
 
Process Industries' fourth-quarter sales were US$324.7 million, down 4% from the same period a year ago.  The decrease reflects lower industrial distribution market sector demand, primarily in the U.S., as well as lower industrial original equipment demand across most end-market sectors.  The decrease was partially offset by the benefit of the industrial services acquisitions.  EBIT for the quarter was US$53.9 million, or 16.6% of sales, compared with the prior year's fourth quarter EBIT of US$61.2 million, or 18.1% of sales.  The decrease in EBIT resulted from lower volume, partially offset by lower manufacturing and material costs and selling and administrative expenses.  In addition, Process Industries had approximately US$3 million of expense from unusual items, primarily consisting of severance costs related to the company's cost-reduction initiative. 
 
Aerospace Segment Results
For the full year 2013, Aerospace recorded sales of US$329.5 million, down 5% from US$346.9 million in 2012. The decrease reflects lower shipments to the defense and critical motion market sectors.
 
Aerospace EBIT was US$26.6 million, or 8.1% of sales, down 27% from US$36.3 million, or 10.5% of sales, for the same period a year ago.  The decrease in EBIT was driven primarily by lower volume and higher manufacturing costs, partially offset by pricing and lower selling and administrative expenses.
 
Sales for the fourth quarter were US$88.7 million, up 5% from the same period a year ago.  The increase reflects higher volume, led by the defense sector.  EBIT for the fourth quarter was US$5.2 million, or 5.9% of sales, compared with EBIT of US$10.0 million, or 11.8% of sales, in the same period a year ago.  The decrease in EBIT resulted from higher manufacturing costs as the segment reduced inventory levels, and restructuring charges of US$2 million, which were partially offset by improved market demand.
 
Steel Segment Results
Sales for Steel, including inter-segment sales, were US$1.4 billion in 2013, down 20% from US$1.7 billion last year.  The results reflect reduced shipments to the industrial and oil and gas market sectors, partially offset by improved demand in the mobile on-highway end-market sector. Raw-material surcharges decreased approximately US$117 million from 2012.  Steel segment EBIT for the year was US$140.2 million, or 10.2% of sales, down 44% compared to US$251.8 million, or 14.6% of sales, in the prior year.  EBIT was impacted by lower volume, mix, surcharges and LIFO income, partially offset by lower material, manufacturing and selling and administrative expenses.
 
For the quarter, Steel segment sales were US$330.1 million, up 4% from the same period last year driven by demand in the mobile on-highway and oil and gas end-market sectors.  Raw-material surcharges increased approximately US$7 million from the fourth quarter in 2012.
 
EBIT for the fourth quarter of 2013 was US$32.9 million, or 10% of sales, compared with US$25.2 million, or 8% of sales, for the same period a year ago.  The increase in EBIT was driven by higher volume and lower manufacturing costs, net material costs and selling and administrative expenses, partially offset by the impact of LIFO.
 
Outlook
The company's outlook reflects its current business structure with all four operating segments in place for the full 12 months of 2014.  Timken expects 2014 sales to be up approximately 6% compared to 2013, driven by higher demand in industrial, off-highway, energy, defense and rail end-market sectors.  Operating performance is expected to benefit from higher demand and cost-reduction initiatives, with all four segments achieving double-digit operating margins. 
 
For the full year 2014, The Timken Company expects:
  • Mobile Industries' sales down 3 to 8%, primarily driven by the impact of planned program exits in the light-vehicle sector that concluded by the end of 2013.  Partially offsetting this decline is anticipated improvement in off-highway and rail demand;
  • Process Industries' sales to be up 7 to 12%, due to recovery across most industrial end-market sectors;
  • Aerospace and Defense sales up 5 to 10%, due to increased demand across most end-market sectors, led by defense; and
  • Steel sales up 12 to 17%, driven by improved demand in the oil and gas and industrial end-market sectors.
 
Timken projects 2014 annual earnings per diluted share to range from US$3.15 to US$3.45, which includes US$0.35 per diluted share of the following unusual items: separation costs related to the proposed spinoff of the steel business of US$0.55; costs associated with the company's cost-reduction initiative of US$0.10; and a gain on the sale of land in Brazil of US$0.30.
 
The company expects to generate cash from operations of approximately US$560 million in 2014.  Free cash flow is projected to be US$165 million after making capital expenditures of US$310 million and paying about US$85 million in dividends.